Nvidia Shares Still Have Room to Run, Second Bullish Indicator Suggests

Yahoo Finance ·

Nvidia Inc, currently holding the title of the world's most valuable corporation, advanced 2% to trade at $238.64 after touching an all-time peak of $238.70 earlier in the session. Although the equity has climbed 27% both in 2026 and over the preceding twelve months, a fresh bullish signal—the second to emerge in under a month—indicates that the chip giant has not yet peaked. This sustained outperformance is unfolding against a backdrop of exceptionally subdued implied volatility. Notably, the stock's SVI of 28% sits in the modest 3rd percentile of its yearly parameters. Historical figures compiled by Schaeffer's senior quantitative analyst Rocky White reveal nine prior occurrences over the last half-decade where the security hovered within 2% of its 52-week peak while its volatility index dropped into the bottom 20% of its annual spectrum. Following those specific historical setups, the asset posted positive returns over a one-month horizon more than 50% of the time, averaging a 6.1% advance. Meanwhile, options market participants maintain a cautious stance, as reflected by a 50-day put/call volume ratio resting in the 86th percentile of its annual distribution.

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Nvidia (NVDA) shares rose 2% to close at $238.64, approaching all-time highs. Recent historically low implied volatility combined with a second bullish signal suggests further upside potential. Although bearish bets remain dominant in the options market, historically similar signals have led to an average 1-month gain of 6.1%.

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Nvidia's SVI stands at 28%, placing it in the bottom 3rd percentile of its annual range, matching a bullish pattern that has occurred 9 times over the past 5 years. This indicates a high probability of further gains within the next month when stocks trade near 52-week highs amid low volatility.

In the bullish scenario, historical statistics suggest the stock could surge above $253. In the bearish scenario, given that the 50-day put/call volume ratio is in the 86th percentile, investors should remain cautious about potential volatility expansion in the options market.

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Bullish (Long) 54% · Bearish (Short) 46%

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