AMD Projects 66% Q4 Revenue Jump Driven by Strong AI Semiconductor Demand

Yahoo Finance ·

AMD reported a 45% surge in third-quarter revenue to a record $13.4 billion, propelled by a near-doubling of data center sales. Following the announcement, company shares advanced roughly 6.5% during after-hours trading. Management anticipates growth to accelerate to approximately 66% in the upcoming fourth quarter. During the third quarter, GAAP diluted EPS reached $1.46, while adjusted EPS came in at $2.09. However, heavy spending on inventory for Helios rack systems and Venice chips caused free cash flow to drop to $554 million from about $1.5 billion, alongside a sharp rise in debt. Investors should monitor whether Q4 revenue hits the guided $17 billion target and if inventories successfully convert into cash flow.

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AMD's Q3 revenue rose 45% year-over-year to $13.4 billion, with data center revenue surging 97% to reach $8.5 billion. The company projected Q4 revenue growth of approximately 66%, driving its stock up 6.5% in after-hours trading. However, the slowdown in cash flow due to increased inventory and expanded debt is something investors should monitor closely.

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With data center revenue nearly doubling, AMD's GAAP operating margin rose 7 percentage points year-over-year. Thanks to a chip design cost structure with fixed-cost characteristics, additional sales of GPUs and server CPUs are directly translating into net income.

Whether AMD achieves its Q4 guidance of $1.7 billion in revenue and whether its surging inventory converts smoothly into cash are key indicators that will determine the future direction of the stock. Delays in inventory digestion could act as downward pressure on the stock.

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