Why Bank of America Sees 44% Upside for DoorDash Despite a Tough Year

Yahoo Finance ·

Bank of America lowered its price target for DoorDash to $257 from $275 on Oct. 30 while keeping a Buy rating, signaling a 44% upside from a stock that fell 33% over the past year. During the third quarter, DoorDash posted record revenue and net income of $466 million, alongside an agreement to acquire Instacart for approximately $17 billion. Trading at 25x forward earnings, the valuation sits at a five-year low. Analysts have raised normalized EPS estimates for 2026 and 2027 by 5% to 6% since June 30. However, risks remain regarding the debt and new shares associated with the Instacart transaction, which awaits regulatory approval.

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Despite DoorDash reporting Q3 revenue of $4.6 billion, up 34% year-over-year, and a 91% surge in net income, its stock fell 33%. Bank of America lowered its price target to $257 but maintained a buy rating, citing a 44% upside potential. Investors should carefully monitor debt and new share issuance risks associated with the $17 billion acquisition of Instacart.

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DoorDash's Q3 revenue of $4.6 billion and adjusted EBITDA of $106 million demonstrated solid fundamentals. The current 12-month forward price-to-earnings ratio is 25x, marking a 5-year low.

In the bullish scenario, synergies from the Instacart acquisition and visible earnings growth could drive the stock to the $257 target. In the bearish scenario, debt burdens and additional expenditures leading up to the acquisition's completion could delay stock recovery, making it crucial to watch for regulatory approval and changes in 2026-2027 earnings estimates.

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