TD Cowen Initiates TeraWulf With Buy Rating Citing AI Data Center Potential

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TD Cowen initiated coverage of TeraWulf with a Buy rating and a $21 price target on Monday, representing an estimated 52.5% upside from Friday's close of $13.77. Analyst Michael Elias argued that the market is undervaluing the Bitcoin miner's pivot toward AI data center operations. Elias noted that market participants apply an overly conservative 9% cap rate to the firm's data center assets, failing to recognize lower underlying risks. TeraWulf hosts AI cloud provider Fluidstack, with tech giant Google guaranteeing a portion of the lease payments. Furthermore, Google holds warrants representing an 8% potential equity stake in TeraWulf. While TD Cowen's target sits about 37% below the Wall Street consensus average of $33.58, the rating reflects growing confidence in the company's infrastructure transition. WULF shares edged nearly 1% higher in pre-market trading, though the stock remains down roughly 54% from its 52-week peak of $29.84.

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TD Cowen initiated coverage on Terawulf (WULF) with a Buy rating and a $21 price target. This is based on the analysis that the value of its AI data center conversion business is undervalued by the market, with Google's lease guarantee and equity warrant serving as key drivers. Investors are focusing on the potential for revaluation from a traditional Bitcoin miner to a high-growth AI infrastructure company.

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DYAX 전담 분석

TD Cowen diagnosed that the 9% cap rate applied during Terawulf's transition of Bitcoin mining facilities to AI data centers is overly conservative relative to actual risks. With cash flow stability increasing due to contracts with Fluidstack, a cloud partner backed by Google, there is room for additional multiple expansion.

The bull case is that the lease value of data centers will be reassessed amid expanding AI infrastructure demand, causing the stock price to rebound toward Wall Street's average target of $33.58. The bear case is that the stock price will continue its downward trend from its 52-week high due to cryptocurrency market volatility and accelerated high cap rates, with key monitoring indicators being the utilization rate and rental profitability of Google-linked data centers.

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