US Stock Futures Rise Amid Tech Rebound as Q3 Earnings Season Unfolds

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US stock futures ticked higher on Monday night as technology shares staged a recovery following last week's sharp decline. Market participants are closely monitoring the unfolding third-quarter earnings season, with about 70 S&P 500 companies scheduled to release quarterly reports this week. During Monday's regular session, the Nasdaq Composite advanced 1.11% to close at 26,430.89, while the S&P 500 gained 0.41% to 7,690.73. Conversely, the Dow Jones Industrial Average slipped 0.07% to end at 51,966.03. Chip equities and artificial intelligence names spearheaded the rebound, pushing the iShares Semiconductor ETF up nearly 2%. Meanwhile, rising crude prices driven by geopolitical tensions exerted downward pressure on broader indices. Key individual equities in focus included Trump Media & Technology Group, Amazon.com, Cerebras Systems, and CoreWeave as investors navigated upcoming corporate earnings and macroeconomic headwinds.

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New York stock indices rebounded, led by a 1.11% gain in the Nasdaq, driven by bargain hunting in tech stocks and strength in semiconductor shares. However, rising oil prices (WTI in the $103 range) due to geopolitical risks are exerting downward pressure on the market. This week, about 70 S&P 500 companies, including Meta and Tesla, are scheduled to report their third-quarter earnings, which is expected to determine market direction.

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Ahead of the earnings releases of major tech stocks like Tesla and Meta, the semiconductor sector (such as SOXX +2%) rebounded from last week's declines. Volatility may expand depending on the earnings direction of AI and big tech companies, and attention is focused on the impact that cost pressures from rising oil prices will have on individual corporate margins.

The bullish scenario is the continuation of the tech rally driven by strong earnings from major companies, while the bearish scenario is that geopolitical instability and soaring oil prices stimulate inflation and weigh on the overall stock market. Close monitoring of whether key support levels hold and the trend of crude oil futures prices is required.

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