Why AI Stock Rally Relies on Cloud Growth This Earnings Season: Goldman Analyst

Yahoo Finance ·

To sustain the ongoing artificial intelligence equity rally, major hyperscalers including Oracle and Amazon must report accelerated cloud computing adoption during the third-quarter earnings season. According to Goldman Sachs strategist Ben Snider, year-over-year cloud revenue growth is projected to climb from 48 percent in the second quarter to 55 percent in the third quarter, proving the effective monetization of massive capital expenditures. Meanwhile, Micron provided a strong early signal by surpassing quarterly sales and profit estimates, fueled by relentless artificial intelligence demand. Executives noted that elevated chip pricing and tight supply constraints will persist through 2028. Analysts emphasize that these robust fundamentals alleviate investor fears regarding a cyclical peak, securing a prolonged growth runway for the semiconductor and cloud sectors moving forward.

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According to Goldman Sachs analysis, the future AI stock rally will largely depend on Q3 earnings and cloud growth of major cloud companies like Oracle and Amazon. Goldman Sachs expects cloud revenue growth to accelerate from 48% in Q2 to 55% in Q3 year-over-year. Micron's strong earnings and expectations of rising chip prices and supply shortages until 2028 prove that AI demand has not peaked.

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DYAX 전담 분석

The monetization of capital expenditures (capex) by major cloud providers and the acceleration of cloud revenue growth (projected at 55%) are key factors determining the sustainability of the AI rally. Micron's surge in revenue and operating profit due to AI demand and its forecast of tight supply and demand through 2028 act as a strong positive catalyst for the semiconductor and AI sectors overall.

In the bullish scenario, cloud revenue exceeds expectations and favorable AI supply and demand drive stock prices up, while in the bearish scenario, concerns over capex monetization could emerge. Key indicators to watch are hyperscaler cloud revenue growth rates and memory semiconductor price trends.

AI가 생성한 분석으로 투자 자문이 아닙니다.

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