Is It Too Late to Invest in Sandisk After a 568% Surge?

Yahoo Finance ·

Following its spin-off from Western Digital in February 2025, Sandisk began trading on the Nasdaq near $35 and has delivered an astonishing 4,300 percent gain over the past 18 months. In 2026 alone, the equity skyrocketed 568 percent, claiming the top spot in the Nasdaq-100. This meteoric rise prompts market participants to question if they missed the boat. The primary catalyst behind this momentum is a severe supply and demand imbalance driven by artificial intelligence infrastructure expansion. Hyperscalers like Microsoft, Amazon, Alphabet, Meta Platforms, and Oracle have collectively committed over $700 billion in capital expenditures for 2026. Industry research from SemiAnalysis indicates that major technology firms will allocate 30 percent of their capital budgets to memory solutions this year. Positioned advantageously in the NAND flash market, Sandisk provides enterprise solid-state drives tailored for inference tasks and data repositories. Consequently, the firm's data center division experienced a 437 percent surge in trailing sales, reaching $5.2 billion over the past year.

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Sandisk (SNDK), spun off from Western Digital in February 2025, surged 568% in 2026 alone, recording the top performance on the Nasdaq 100, driven by the AI infrastructure investment boom. As Big Tech allocated 30% of their over $70 billion in capital expenditures (CapEx) for 2026 to memory solutions, data center enterprise SSD revenue skyrocketed 437% year-over-year to $5.2 billion. Investors are weighing valuation pressures and the sustainability of AI memory demand against whether this dramatic rally is a peak or will continue.

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Sandisk's soaring stock price is directly driven by supply-demand imbalances from AI infrastructure expansion and massive capital expenditures (CapEx) by hyperscalers. In particular, demand for enterprise SSDs optimized for inference workloads and data lakes has surged, causing Sandisk's data center revenue to soar to $5.2 billion, strongly underpinning its earnings fundamentals.

The bullish scenario is that Big Tech's investments in AI chips and memory will continue without a downturn for the time being, driving further margin expansion. The bearish scenario is the valuation burden resulting from the already priced-in 568% stock surge and the risk of transitioning to oversupply. Attention should be paid to hyperscalers' quarterly CapEx execution scales and NAND flash average selling price (ASP) trends going forward.

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