Bank of America Predicts Massive Expansion for AI Chip Sector

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Bank of America projects the worldwide semiconductor market to nearly double from $1.7 trillion in 2026 to $3.2 trillion by 2030, driven by robust artificial intelligence infrastructure and data center demand. This optimistic outlook reinforces long-term prospects for major chip equities like Nvidia and AMD. Analysts led by Vivek Arya noted zero evidence of deceleration in client orders, long-term agreements, or pricing trends, with 2027 capacity already fully booked across compute, networking, and memory providers. Memory is anticipated to be the primary expansion catalyst, surging to $1.8 trillion by 2030 from $937 billion in 2026. While hyperscaler capital expenditure slowdown remains a potential risk, current metrics indicate the semiconductor cycle maintains significant momentum.

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Bank of America projects the global semiconductor market to nearly double from $1.7 trillion in 2026 to $3.2 trillion by 2030. Driven by robust AI infrastructure and data center demand, NVDA B200 GPU hourly rental rates remain strong at $5.72 with no signs of order slowdowns. Major vendor supply contracts are secured through 2027, making AI chip-related stocks a key focus for continuous growth.

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According to Bank of America's outlook, explosive demand for AI infrastructure and memory semiconductors is expected to expand the global semiconductor market size to $3.2 trillion by 2030. Supply contracts for chips from NVDA, AMD, and others are fully booked through 2027, and GPU rental rates remain stable compared to peaks, directly pointing to strong earnings for related companies.

The bullish scenario involves hyperscalers' continuous capital expenditures driving NVDA and memory semiconductor earnings above expectations, while the bearish scenario points to order cancellations due to AI investment fatigue. Key watchpoints are the trends in GPU rental rates and the 2028 capacity reservation rate.

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