US Stock Futures Yawns Ahead of PCE Inflation Data and Nvidia Earnings Release

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US Stock Futures Yawns Ahead of PCE Inflation Data and Nvidia Earnings Release

Stock futures traded near the flatline as market participants braced for the vital Personal Consumption Expenditures inflation report and Nvidia earnings. At 8:00 AM Eastern Time, S&P 500 futures held steady, while Nasdaq futures dipped 0.2 percent. Nvidia and Marvell both ticked up 0.2 percent ahead of the highly anticipated corporate results. Treasury yields advanced by 1 to 3 basis points as the yield curve experienced a bear flattening movement. The US dollar strengthened, whereas crude oil prices retreated amid optimism surrounding potential developments in US and Iran discussions. Investors are closely monitoring the upcoming macroeconomic data, where consensus estimates project headline PCE at 0.1 percent month-over-month and 3.6 percent year-over-year, alongside core PCE of 0.3 percent monthly and 3.3 percent annually. Wall Street remains focused on the broader implications of Nvidia's report for the artificial intelligence ecosystem rather than just single-stock performance.

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US stock index futures are trading flat ahead of the key PCE inflation release and NVDA's earnings, while US Treasury yields rose 1-3 bps and crude oil prices declined. Markets are closely watching the ripple effects of NVDA's earnings across the broader AI ecosystem beyond just a single company. Investors should maintain a cautious risk management stance to prepare for volatility before and after major events.

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Ahead of NVDA's earnings and the Core PCE inflation indicator projected at 0.3%, a wait-and-see attitude is deepening with Nasdaq futures down 0.2%, while oil fell on US-Iran negotiation hopes and Treasury yields rose 1-3 bps. The bullish scenario is that strong NVDA earnings combined with stabilizing PCE inflation reignite a tech rally, whereas the bearish scenario is that upward pressure on interest rates from a rebound in inflation hits tech valuations. Key indicators to watch are whether the 10-year Treasury yield breaks 4.60% and the detailed PCE figures.

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