US June net overall capital flow +USD 133.5bln vs +USD 131.5bln in May (prev. +USD 132.2bln)
Newsquawk ·
Net overall capital flow +USD 133.5bln vs +USD 131.5bln in May (prev. +USD 132.2bln) Net long-term flow (ex-swaps/other) +USD 172.7bln vs +USD 231.2bln in May (prev. +USD 232.7bln) Net long-term flow (incl. swaps/other) +USD 172.7bln vs +USD 231.2bln in May (prev. +USD 232.7bln) Net official capital flow +USD 48.4bln vs -USD 39.9bln in May (prev. -USD 39.9bln) Net private capital flow +USD 85.0bln vs +USD 171.4bln in May (prev. +USD 172.0bln) Net foreign holdings of US Treasury bonds, notes +USD 6.8bln vs +USD 56.6bln in May (prev. +USD 56.6bln) United Kingdom's U.S. Treasury holdings USD 940bln in June vs USD 949bln in May Japan's US Treasury holdings USD 1.117tln in June vs USD 1.143tln in May China's US Treasury securities holdings USD 633bln in June vs USD 659bln in May
AI 시장 분석
Total net capital inflows to the US in June reached $133.5 billion, a slight increase from $131.5 billion in the previous month. On the other hand, long-term capital inflows decreased to $172.7 billion compared to $231.2 billion in the previous month. Foreign holdings of US Treasuries increased by only $8.8 billion, slowing significantly compared to $56.6 billion in the previous month.
상승 영향
- USD — Total net capital inflows in June increased compared to the previous month to $133.5 billion, supporting overall demand for the US dollar.
하락 영향
- Bonds — The increase in foreign holdings of US Treasuries plummeted to $6.8 billion compared to $56.6 billion in the previous month, stimulating concerns over slowing Treasury demand.
DYAX 전담 분석
Despite the increase in total capital inflows, the slowdown in long-term capital and Treasury purchases suggests changes in safe-haven preferences and adjustments in US Treasury holdings by foreign investors (such as decreases in holdings by China and Japan). This directly impacts dollar supply and demand as well as Treasury yield volatility, potentially acting as a supply burden on the bond market.
If the capital inflow trend continues, the dollar will be supported, but if the weakening of Treasury buying intensifies, it could act as upward pressure on interest rates and burden the stock market overall. We must carefully monitor the trends in US Treasury holdings by major countries (China, Japan, etc.) and future capital inflow indicators.
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- US Overall Net Capital Flows (Jun) 133.50 (Prev. 131.50)
