The 1 Bitcoin Chart They Don't Want You To See

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A market analyst, identifying as a "bitcoin vari" rather than a perma-bear, asserts that Bitcoin is still heading for a bottom between $30,000 and $40,000. The analyst, who claims a history of accurate predictions for Bitcoin's price movements, highlights significant headwinds facing the cryptocurrency. Chief among these is its widespread use by U.S. adversaries for illicit transactions and sanctions evasion, citing examples like Iran and North Korea. This illicit utility could prompt the U.S. to adopt a less permissive stance, potentially removing Bitcoin's largest use case. While not predicting zero value, the analyst warns that these factors could reverse Bitcoin's historical four-year appreciation cycle, urging investors to be aware of these critical risks. I’m not a perma-bear. I’m not a doomster – and yes, I’ve been calling bitcoin down for a long time now. I called it up in 2017, 2021, and 2025 – it’s all here on Forbes if you want to check the calls. There I am on the record: a bitcoin bull on the way up and a bear on the way back down again in each case. I’m not a bitcoin maxi; I’m a bitcoin vari. Buy it when it’s cheap, sell it when it’s expensive. I’m not cherry-picking my calls. I could say bitcoin hasn’t risen since 2024, but I won’t. I could say you would have outperformed gold and the S&P if you had bought in 2023, but I won’t say that either, because accurate hindsight has no value. I’m in the approximate foresight game, and sorry, I still think it’s going down some more. Here is the chart, which is just another close variant of what I’ve said before. The map to the destination just gets a little clearer as we approach where I expect the bottom to be, which is between $30,000 and $40,000. It’s not fate, because things can intervene, but it is a high-probability outcome. There are a lot of headwinds out there for bitcoin, not the least of them being its use by the adversaries of the U.S. Some people get pretty angry when I point that out, but just half an hour of research will uncover skulduggery so breathtaking that it makes me consider how the U.S. might change its permissive attitude towards bitcoin in due course. At the very least, you would think the U.S. will try – and likely succeed – in removing bitcoin’s largest use case: its utility for getting around sanctions and facilitating illicit transactions. Some people deny that’s a thing, but it clearly is. Bomb Iran and pooooff... off goes 25% of the mining hash rate. Bitcoin, like a CryptoPunk NFT, will never go to zero, but the future could reverse its four-year cycle of appreciation. Yet first we need to get to the end of this cycle and see how the next one begins. Iran, North Korea, and the Asian scam-centre slavers will do the future of bitcoin no good, but whether they will permanently damage BTC remains to be seen. However, if you do not watch out for that sting in the tail, it may well get you.

AI 시장 분석

An analysis suggests that a specific chart tracking Bitcoin price trends is signaling a hidden inflection point in the market. The chart compares past post-halving patterns with current liquidity conditions, forecasting significant future volatility. Investors need to combine technical indicators with on-chain data to precisely gauge current overbought or oversold zones.

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DYAX 전담 분석

The market is currently at a critical junction where technical momentum meets macro liquidity shifts. By analyzing historical cycles alongside current data, analysts are warning that the upcoming period may deviate from standard projections. A cautious approach, prioritizing data-driven validation over sentiment, is essential for navigating the current market structure.

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