Opendoor Is Down 86% From Its High. Is the Housing Recovery Story Still Intact?

Yahoo Finance ·

Last year, Opendoor ( OPEN -5.08% ) had a new CEO, Kaz Nejatian, take the helm, promising a massive turnaround for the struggling pandemic-era real estate technology company. The stock price rose from under $1 to $10 in a year, with investors betting that the pain was finally over. Today, shares are back down to $3.50. The financial results for the real estate buying platform continue to deteriorate, with housing market activity frozen shut in the United States. Here's what Opendoor's future may look like, and whether the stock looks cheap again, down 90% from 2021 highs, as a bet on an eventual reversion to the mean in homebuying activity.

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As the US housing market transactions have been frozen for a long time, proptech company Opendoor's stock price dropped 86% from its peak to $3.50. The stock, which had soared to $10 on expectations of a new CEO's inauguration, plummeted again along with worsening earnings, raising investors' concerns. With the timing of housing transaction recovery unclear, the current cheap valuation is evaluated as a high-risk bet.

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The continued sluggishness in US housing market transactions directly leads to worsening performance for real estate platforms like Opendoor, acting as a core factor that intensifies downward pressure on stock prices. Unless the sentiment of weak buying and selling caused by high interest rates is resolved, the risk of additional valuation declines exists.

Whether housing market transaction volume will rebound following future interest rate cuts is the key focal point. While a transaction recovery would present an opportunity for a stock rebound, if delayed, liquidity risks could emerge, requiring close monitoring of macroeconomic indicators.

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