Is Nvidia Engaging in Circular Financing? Some Think So.

Yahoo Finance ·

Nvidia ( NVDA +0.02% ) has been making some interesting investments lately, a few of which should be concerning for investors, if not outright red flags. The AI chip giant just announced it was making a $105 billion investment to support the development of an enormous data center in Ohio that will be leased by OpenAI , the company behind ChatGPT. OpenAI is a major customer of Nvidia , so the deal will presumably help it continue to purchase Nvidia's expensive graphics processing units and systems. Previously, Nvidia invested billions of dollars in Anthropic, which owns the Claude chatbot, and in the cloud-computing firm CoreWeave . It has also partnered with investment firms Apollo and Blackstone to arrange hundreds of billions in financing for new data centers.

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Nvidia is investing $105.5 billion to develop OpenAI's Ohio data center and is also injecting massive capital into major clients like Anthropic and CoreWeave. Concerns are being raised that these investments form a circular funding structure designed to drive purchases of its high-cost GPUs. Investors must closely examine the revenue dependence on clients and the sustainability of this capital circulation structure.

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Nvidia's $105.5 billion data center investment and equity participation in major AI clients have raised suspicions of a circular trading structure that boosts its own GPU sales. While revenue growth will accelerate as long as this structure is maintained, any financial distress experienced by clients could lead to a cascading hit to earnings.

The bullish scenario is that explosive AI demand turns data center investments into actual massive cash flows, whereas the bearish scenario is that circular investment risks emerge, causing valuations to plummet. Going forward, the clients' independent cash generation capabilities and the continuity of GPU orders must be monitored as key indicators.

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