SpaceX Stock Is Down 36% From Its Post-IPO Peak. History Says a $10,000 Investment Will Be Worth This Much by June 2027.
Yahoo Finance ·
On June 12, Space Exploration Technologies ( SPCX +3.19% ) became the largest initial public offering (IPO) in U.S. history as measured by market value. The rocket and satellite company was worth nearly $1.8 trillion at the listing price of $135 per share. SpaceX peaked around $202 per share on its third trading day. However, the stock has since fallen 36% to $129 per share, and history says it has further to fall. Here's what investors should know. Highly anticipated IPO stocks frequently notch large gains on the first trading day. SpaceX was no exception; the stock closed just shy of $161 per share (about 19% above the IPO price) on day one. However, companies that go public with large market capitalizations have historically performed poorly over the long term. Among the 10 largest U.S. IPOs in the last decade, the median stock fell 17% from its IPO price during its first year on the public market. SpaceX priced its IPO at $135 per share. If its performance matches the historical median, the stock will trade at $112 per share by June 2027 (i.e., 17% below its IPO price). That implies 13% downside from the current share price of $129.
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SpaceX went public at $1.8 trillion, the largest IPO in U.S. history, but is currently trading down 36% from its peak at $129. Historical data on large past IPOs shows a tendency for share prices to decline below the offering price during the first year, raising concerns of further potential drops. Investors should exercise caution regarding short-term volatility and conservatively review medium-to-long-term fundamentals.
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- Aerospace — SpaceX shares have fallen 36% from their peak, raising the possibility of further declines following historical large IPO patterns, which is dampening short-term investment sentiment.
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