Tesla Stock Revs Up On Cybercab Buzz: Analyst Sees ‘Good Entry Point’ As Robotaxis Drive 30% Of Bull Case
Yahoo Finance ·
Robotaxis generated under 0.5% of Tesla’s 2025 revenue but account for over 30% of Morningstar’s valuation.Tesla could launch Cybercab publicly in Austin this month, beginning with employee rides before adding it to Robotaxi.Waymo holds a 580-fold driverless-mile lead, while Tesla’s unsupervised Austin fleet reportedly shrank to around 17 vehicles.Shares of Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) posted their best session in over a month on Wednesday as an imminent Cybercab deployment brought renewed attention to Morningstar’s bullish view that robotaxis will power over 30% of the company’s value.TSLA stock jumped 4% on Wednesday and is up 3% this week, putting the shares on track for a third consecutive weekly gain.Morningstar Sees 28% Upside For TSLAMorningstar maintained its $450 fair value estimate for Tesla, implying a 28% upside from current levels. The brokerage called Cybercab’s potential deployment a “positive step forward” for Tesla’s autonomous-driving software. Launching a vehicle without a steering wheel or pedals would show that the tech “continues to advance through testing,” it said.Robotaxis generated well under 0.5% of Tesla’s 2025 revenue but account for over 30% of Morningstar’s valuation. The firm expects Cybercab’s relatively low costs to support “strong profits” and “strong growth in 2027.” Morningstar places Tesla in ‘four-star’ territory with a ‘narrow’ economic moat and ‘very high’ uncertainty.“At current prices, we view Tesla shares as undervalued,” Morningstar said, calling the stock a “good entry point for long-term investors.” Morningstar expects Tesla to expand Robotaxi into more cities and deploy additional vehicles without safety monitors through year-end. Tesla Readies August Cybercab Launch Tesla has told employees it is preparing to launch Cybercab publicly in Austin as soon as this month, The Information reported. The company reportedly plans to begin with employee rides on public roads before adding the vehicles to its Robotaxi service several days later. The August target could still slip.Tesla has tested Cybercab around its Austin campus and recently trained local first responders to move the vehicles during emergencies. Its Robotaxi account is also promoting a “Cybercab launch event” through a rider sweepstakes ending Aug. 23.Since Cybercab lacks manual controls, its usefulness depends entirely on Tesla’s autonomous-driving system. The company says remote operators can assist during emergencies.Tesla Faces A Massive Waymo Gap Tesla reported about 380,000 cumulative driverless miles across its Robotaxi hubs as of July. Alphabet-owned Waymo has surpassed 220 million rider-only miles, which is about a 580-fold lead.Tesla has 186 Model Ys registered for its Austin service, but its unsupervised fleet reportedly stood at only around 17 vehicles in July, down from approximately 25 in the spring. Tesla has nevertheless been building Cybercabs at its Texas factory since February, with more than 100 units reportedly spotted by July. CEO Elon Musk originally unveiled the two-seat vehicle in 2024 with a price below $30,000.How Do Retail Traders Feel About TSLA?On Stocktwits, retail sentiment for TSLA was ‘bullish’ amid a 10% rise in 24-hour message volumes.TSLA sentiment and message volume as of August 20 | Source: StocktwitsOne user said, “$TSLA $400’s come next, then new all-time highs towards the end of the year”https://stocktwits.com/MuskyFlex/message/662339653Another user said, “If $TSLA breaks this bull flag pattern, we going to fill that gap on the daily”https://stocktwits.com/TheWrightTraders/message/662328616So far this year, Tesla's stock has lagged its "Magnificent Seven" peers, making it the group's worst performer, down about 22%. For updates and corrections, email newsroom[at]stocktwits[dot]com.Read Next: RKLB Stock Eyes Worst Week In Over A Month — CEO Says Rocket Lab Won’t Compete Directly With SpaceX
AI 시장 분석
테슬라(TSLA) 주가가 오스틴에서의 사이버캡(Cybercab) 공개 임박 소식과 모닝스타의 28% 상승 여력 전망에 힘입어 4% 급등하며 1개월 내 최고 세션을 기록했다. 모닝스타는 로보택시가 2025년 매출의 0.5% 미만을 차지하지만 가치 평가의 30% 이상을 견인할 것으로 분석하며 현 주가를 매수 적기로 평가했다. 이번 기대감은 자율주행 소프트웨어 진전에 대한 투자 심리를 개선하며 단기 주가 상승 모멘텀을 제공하고 있다.
상승 영향
- 전기차 — 테슬라가 오스틴에서 사이버캡 공개와 로보택시 서비스 확대를 준비하면서 자율주행 상용화 기대감이 커져 투자 심리에 긍정적이다.
- AI — 운전대와 페달이 없는 사이버캡의 도입은 완전자율주행 소프트웨어 기술의 진전을 입증하며 관련 밸류에이션을 높이는 요인이다.
DYAX 전담 분석
테슬라의 사이버캡 출시 임박 소식은 현재 매출 비중이 0.5% 미만임에도 불구하고 기업 가치의 30% 이상을 차지하는 로보택시 사업의 성장 기대를 직접적으로 자극하여 주가를 4% 끌어올렸다. 다만 알파벳 산하 Waymo가 220밀리언 마일로 테슬라를 580배 앞서고 있는 점은 기술 격차 리스크로 작용한다.
향후 자율주행 시험 운행 성공 여부와 서비스 확장 속도에 따라 주가는 450달러 목표가를 향한 추가 상승(강세 시나리오) 또는 경쟁사 대비 열위가 부각되며 조정을 받는 약세 시나리오로 나뉠 수 있으며, 규제 당국 승인 여부와 무인 차량 운행 대수 추이를 주요 지표로 모니터링해야 한다.
AI가 생성한 분석으로 투자 자문이 아닙니다.
DYAX Investor Sentiment
Bullish (Long) 56% · Bearish (Short) 44%
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