Buy Signal Flashing for Surging Spotify Stock

Yahoo Finance ·

Music streaming stock Spotify Technology (NYSE:SPOT) is trading 4.5% higher at $539.33 this afternoon, extending yesterday's gains and eyeing its highest close since April. The equity sports a nearly 7% year-to-date deficit however, leaves more room for growth. Luckily, today the shares have broken out and above a historic bull signal, meaning these gains could continue for SPOT. SPOT has now crossed above former pressure at the 200-day moving average. Per Schaeffer's Senior Quantitative Analyst Rocky White, this "crossover" event has happened five other times over the last 10 years. Spotify stock was higher one month later 80% of the time after these signals, averaging a 7% gain. From its current perch, a move of this magnitude would put the shares above $577 for the first time since early January. Options traders are in luck, as SPOT is looking affordably priced. Specifically, Spotify stock's Schaeffer's Volatility Index (SVI) of 57% stands in the 31st percentile of its annual range.

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Spotify (SPOT) shares rose 4.5% to $539.33, breaking above the 200-day moving average. Historically, when this signal occurs, there is an 80% probability of an average 7% gain one month later, raising the possibility of breaking past $577. In the options market, the Stochastic Volatility Index (SVI) remained in the bottom 31st percentile of the year, increasing investment attractiveness.

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Spotify's breakthrough of the historical resistance level at the 200-day moving average is stimulating technical buying and strengthening additional upward momentum. Over the past 10 years, the occurrence of the same signal has recorded an average one-month return of 7%, raising expectations for inflows from institutional and retail investors.

In the bullish scenario, a surge in options buying demand alongside breaking the $577 level could accelerate upward price momentum. Conversely, in the bearish scenario, if the test of the 200-day moving average support fails, short-term profit-taking could emerge, requiring close monitoring of SVI volatility and trading volume trends.

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DYAX Investor Sentiment

Bullish (Long) 57% · Bearish (Short) 43%

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