Global bond sell-off pressures stocks: AlphaCheck

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Walmart (WMT), Target (TGT), Home Depot (HD), and Lowe's (LOW) are all reporting quarterly earnings results next week. RBC Capital Markets director of US equity research, Steven Shemesh, explains how Walmart's and Target's upcoming results could suggest about the health of the consumer.

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Deepening global bond selling is exerting downward pressure on the stock market, with major retail earnings from Walmart and Target scheduled for next week. These earnings will serve as an important indicator to gauge the financial health and purchasing power of U.S. consumers amid inflation. Investors should monitor the impact of rising interest rates and bond market volatility on the real economy and corporate earnings.

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Higher borrowing costs and bond selling driven by rising global bond yields are burdening overall stock market valuations. Particularly ahead of earnings releases from Walmart, Target, and Home Depot, the consumer goods sector faces an increased risk of taking a direct hit from interest rate hikes and inflation.

In a bullish scenario, major retailers could report solid earnings, dispel concerns over a slowdown in consumption, and drive a market rebound. In a bearish scenario, confirmed margin compression and shrinking consumption could lead to a sharp decline in stock prices. Future trends in Treasury yields and earnings guidance must be monitored carefully.

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