The S&P 500 Just Had Its Best Quarter Since 2020. The Stock Market Will Make a Big Move Next if History Repeats.
Yahoo Finance ·
The S&P 500 ( ^GSPC 0.22% ) , commonly regarded as the best benchmark for the entire U.S. stock market, advanced 15% in Q1 2026 despite economic uncertainty created by the Iran conflict. That was the index's best quarterly performance since it added 20% in Q2 2020. What happened next? After gaining 20%, the S&P 500 skyrocketed 39% during the next 12 months. Admittedly, one data point hardly qualifies as a trend. But history still says the stock market will climb much higher by July 2027, and Wall Street analysts generally agree. Since 2011, there have been 10 instances when the S&P 500 achieved quarterly returns of at least 10%. That includes the most recent quarter. Past performance is never a guarantee of future results, but we can examine the past nine instances to make an educated guess about what the stock market might do next.
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