The Bond Market Is Repeating a Pattern Last Observed Ahead of the Great Recession. Here's What History Says Comes Next.
Yahoo Finance ·
While the stock market has plowed higher for much of the past decade, all eyes have turned to the bond market in recent years. Following the Great Recession, the Federal Reserve cut interest rates to zero for roughly a decade to stimulate the economy after trillions in wealth got wiped out. But high inflation following the COVID-19 pandemic forced the Fed to raise interest rates. This year, surging oil prices as a result of the Iran war and a renewed focus on mounting U.S. debt sent longer-dated bond yields soaring. The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note is now 5.18%, while the yield on the 30-year is around 5.5%. Yields haven't been this high since right before the Great Recession. Here's what history says comes next.
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